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Does The First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:FMBI) Share Price Fall With The Market?

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Anyone researching First Midwest Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:FMBI) might want to consider the historical volatility of the share price. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The other type, which cannot be diversified away, is the volatility of the entire market. Every stock in the market is exposed to this volatility, which is linked to the fact that stocks prices are correlated in an efficient market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta can be a useful tool to understand how much a stock is influenced by market risk (volatility). However, Warren Buffett said 'volatility is far from synonymous with risk' in his 2014 letter to investors. So, while useful, beta is not the only metric to consider. To use beta as an investor, you must first understand that the overall market has a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

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See our latest analysis for First Midwest Bancorp

What FMBI's beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 1.26, we can surmise that the First Midwest Bancorp share price has been fairly sensitive to market volatility (over the last 5 years). Based on this history, investors should be aware that First Midwest Bancorp are likely to rise strongly in times of greed, but sell off in times of fear. Many would argue that beta is useful in position sizing, but fundamental metrics such as revenue and earnings are more important overall. You can see First Midwest Bancorp's revenue and earnings in the image below.

NasdaqGS:FMBI Income Statement, April 30th 2019
NasdaqGS:FMBI Income Statement, April 30th 2019

How does FMBI's size impact its beta?

With a market capitalisation of US$2.3b, First Midwest Bancorp is a pretty big company, even by global standards. It is quite likely well known to very many investors. It has a relatively high beta, suggesting it may be somehow leveraged to macroeconomic conditions. For example, it might be a high growth stock with lots of investors trading the shares. It's notable when large companies to have high beta values, because it usually takes substantial capital flows to move their share prices.

What this means for you:

Since First Midwest Bancorp has a reasonably high beta, it's worth considering why it is so heavily influenced by broader market sentiment. For example, it might be a high growth stock or have a lot of operating leverage in its business model. This article aims to educate investors about beta values, but it's well worth looking at important company-specific fundamentals such as First Midwest Bancorp’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for FMBI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for FMBI’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has FMBI been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of FMBI's historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It's worth checking to see how FMBI measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.