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How Does Alpha Financial Markets Consulting's (LON:AFM) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Alpha Financial Markets Consulting (LON:AFM) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.

All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

View our latest analysis for Alpha Financial Markets Consulting

Does Alpha Financial Markets Consulting Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting's P/E of 21.47 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. The image below shows that Alpha Financial Markets Consulting has a higher P/E than the average (16.0) P/E for companies in the professional services industry.

AIM:AFM Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 18th 2020
AIM:AFM Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 18th 2020

That means that the market expects Alpha Financial Markets Consulting will outperform other companies in its industry. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So investors should always consider the P/E ratio alongside other factors, such as whether company directors have been buying shares.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

P/E ratios primarily reflect market expectations around earnings growth rates. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. A lower P/E should indicate the stock is cheap relative to others -- and that may attract buyers.

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Most would be impressed by Alpha Financial Markets Consulting earnings growth of 20% in the last year.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

Don't forget that the P/E ratio considers market capitalization. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting's Balance Sheet

With net cash of UK£17m, Alpha Financial Markets Consulting has a very strong balance sheet, which may be important for its business. Having said that, at 10% of its market capitalization the cash hoard would contribute towards a higher P/E ratio.

The Verdict On Alpha Financial Markets Consulting's P/E Ratio

Alpha Financial Markets Consulting has a P/E of 21.5. That's higher than the average in its market, which is 11.9. Its strong balance sheet gives the company plenty of resources for extra growth, and it has already proven it can grow. So it does not seem strange that the P/E is above average. Given Alpha Financial Markets Consulting's P/E ratio has declined from 31.1 to 21.5 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who don't like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Alpha Financial Markets Consulting. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.