Advertisement
Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    8,206.10
    +72.70 (+0.89%)
     
  • ASX 200

    7,959.30
    +69.70 (+0.88%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6786
    +0.0024 (+0.35%)
     
  • OIL

    82.18
    -0.44 (-0.53%)
     
  • GOLD

    2,416.00
    -5.90 (-0.24%)
     
  • Bitcoin AUD

    88,568.62
    +1,933.81 (+2.23%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,251.08
    +52.51 (+4.38%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6218
    +0.0001 (+0.02%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.1082
    -0.0002 (-0.02%)
     
  • NZX 50

    12,134.97
    +76.68 (+0.64%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    20,331.49
    +120.13 (+0.59%)
     
  • FTSE

    8,252.91
    +29.57 (+0.36%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    40,000.90
    +247.15 (+0.62%)
     
  • DAX

    18,748.18
    +213.62 (+1.15%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    18,293.38
    +461.05 (+2.59%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    41,190.68
    -1,033.34 (-2.45%)
     

Chorus (NZSE:CNU) shareholders have earned a 14% CAGR over the last five years

While Chorus Limited (NZSE:CNU) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 10% in the last quarter. On the bright side the returns have been quite good over the last half decade. It has returned a market beating 53% in that time.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Chorus

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

ADVERTISEMENT

Chorus' earnings per share are down 22% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

We note that the dividend is higher than it was previously - always nice to see. It could be that the company is reaching maturity and dividend investors are buying for the yield.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Chorus' TSR for the last 5 years was 93%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Chorus shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 2.3% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, that falls short of the 14% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. The pessimistic view would be that be that the stock has its best days behind it, but on the other hand the price might simply be moderating while the business itself continues to execute. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Chorus has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on New Zealander exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.