Australia markets closed
  • ALL ORDS

    6,762.40
    +71.00 (+1.06%)
     
  • ASX 200

    6,578.70
    +50.30 (+0.77%)
     
  • AUD/USD

    0.6944
    +0.0046 (+0.66%)
     
  • OIL

    107.06
    +2.79 (+2.68%)
     
  • GOLD

    1,828.10
    -1.70 (-0.09%)
     
  • BTC-AUD

    30,400.88
    -344.70 (-1.12%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    462.12
    +8.22 (+1.81%)
     
  • AUD/EUR

    0.6575
    +0.0025 (+0.38%)
     
  • AUD/NZD

    1.0996
    +0.0016 (+0.14%)
     
  • NZX 50

    10,813.92
    +135.25 (+1.27%)
     
  • NASDAQ

    12,105.85
    +408.17 (+3.49%)
     
  • FTSE

    7,208.81
    +188.36 (+2.68%)
     
  • Dow Jones

    31,500.68
    +823.32 (+2.68%)
     
  • DAX

    13,118.13
    +205.54 (+1.59%)
     
  • Hang Seng

    21,719.06
    +445.19 (+2.09%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    26,491.97
    +320.72 (+1.23%)
     

Card Factory plc (LON:CARD) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·3-min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Most readers would already be aware that Card Factory's (LON:CARD) stock increased significantly by 35% over the past month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Card Factory's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Card Factory

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Card Factory is:

3.7% = UK£8.1m ÷ UK£220m (Based on the trailing twelve months to January 2022).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every £1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of £0.04.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Card Factory's Earnings Growth And 3.7% ROE

When you first look at it, Card Factory's ROE doesn't look that attractive. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 21% either. For this reason, Card Factory's five year net income decline of 41% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Card Factory's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 0.03% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. What is CARD worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether CARD is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Card Factory Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Card Factory's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Our goal is to create a safe and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article commenting