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How to Boost Your Portfolio with Top Retail-Wholesale Stocks Set to Beat Earnings

Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information. With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure.


The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. Costco (COST) earns a Zacks Rank #2 10 days from its next quarterly earnings release on March 7, 2024, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $3.65 a share.

By taking the percentage difference between the $3.65 Most Accurate Estimate and the $3.60 Zacks Consensus Estimate, Costco has an Earnings ESP of 1.58%.

COST is part of a big group of Retail-Wholesale stocks that boast a positive ESP, and investors may want to take a look at Alibaba (BABA) as well.

Slated to report earnings on May 16, 2024, Alibaba holds a #3 (Hold) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $1.57 a share 80 days from its next quarterly update.

Alibaba's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at 0.43% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.56.

COST and BABA's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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Zacks Investment Research