Bitcoin Still Trading in Bullish Channel Despite Price Support Break

Bitcoin’s broader outlook remains constructive despite the recent pulldown. The cryptocurrency fell below its support level of $57,653, the Oct. 23 low, which has opened the doors for a deeper pullback.

“There has been an 18% drawdown [from record high], but we have been here several times before, in September and June this year,” Lennard Neo, head of research at Stack Funds, told CoinDesk in a WhatsApp chat. “Bitcoin is still trading within the upward channel.”

MintingM, a Mumbai, India-based crypto asset management company, said that the cryptocurrency is still in a clear uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows on the daily time frame. As seen in the chart below, the upward or bullish channel, representing higher highs and higher lows, can be identified by trendlines connecting the lows of July 20 and Sept. 29, and the highs of June 30 and Sept. 7.

Bitcoin was trading near $56,000 at press time, having hit a record high of $68,954 earlier this month.

“There hasn’t been any strong catalyst to propel bitcoin’s price forward, and whales [large investors] have not been accumulating like they did in previous bull runs – which paints how global macro uncertainties have kept prices muted,” Stack Funds’ Neo said.

Matthew Dibb, Stack Funds’ chief operating officer and co-founder, said the recent decline represents a typical bull market correction and may extended further. “There is mounting concern that inflationary pressures will cause a drop in risk assets, including bitcoin. We believe it will happen at some point, but it is not exactly imminent,” Dibb said.

Action in traditional markets indicates potential for a deeper drawdown. The reappointment of Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve by U.S. President Joe Biden on Monday reinforced bets that the central bank would hike rates faster to control inflation. U.S. stocks erased early gains, while gold and silver fell after Powell’s reappointment. The dollar index hit a 16-month high of 96.60 early Tuesday and the U.S. two-year yields rose to 0.63%, the highest since March 20.

Treasury yields rose following news that US President Biden picked Jerome Powell for 2nd term as head of Fed. 2y & 5y yields climbed by 7bps rsp 8bps. US swaps market is now pricing in a full 25bp rate hike into the June Fed meeting, w/ 2nd increase seen for next Nov. (via BBG) pic.twitter.com/Owx4XoNvwy

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) November 22, 2021

Bitcoin flipped from support at $57,653 into resistance, with a firm close under the said level on Monday. And the breakdown is backed by a below-50 or bearish reading on the relative strength index (RSI), and so another leg lower cannot be ruled out.

MintingM said the immediate support is seen at $53,000, while Stack Funds’ Neo cited $50,000 and $51,000 as key support zones.