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Is Benitec Biopharma (ASX:BLT) In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans?

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

So should Benitec Biopharma (ASX:BLT) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

Check out our latest analysis for Benitec Biopharma

When Might Benitec Biopharma Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at December 2019, Benitec Biopharma had cash of AU$20m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through AU$6.2m. Therefore, from December 2019 it had 3.2 years of cash runway. There's no doubt that this is a reassuringly long runway. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

ASX:BLT Historical Debt, February 27th 2020
ASX:BLT Historical Debt, February 27th 2020

Is Benitec Biopharma's Revenue Growing?

We're hesitant to extrapolate on the recent trend to assess its cash burn, because Benitec Biopharma actually had positive free cash flow last year, so operating revenue growth is probably our best bet to measure, right now. Sadly, operating revenue actually dropped like a stone in the last twelve months, falling 88%, which is rather concerning. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. This graph of historic earnings and revenue shows how Benitec Biopharma is building its business over time.

How Easily Can Benitec Biopharma Raise Cash?

Since its revenue growth is moving in the wrong direction, Benitec Biopharma shareholders may wish to think ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash to drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

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Since it has a market capitalisation of AU$11m, Benitec Biopharma's AU$6.2m in cash burn equates to about 55% of its market value. From this perspective, it seems that the company spent a huge amount relative to its market value, and we'd be very wary of a painful capital raising.

How Risky Is Benitec Biopharma's Cash Burn Situation?

On this analysis of Benitec Biopharma's cash burn, we think its cash runway was reassuring, while its falling revenue has us a bit worried. Even though we don't think it has a problem with its cash burn, the analysis we've done in this article does suggest that shareholders should give some careful thought to the potential cost of raising more money in the future. While we always like to monitor cash burn for early stage companies, qualitative factors such as the CEO pay can also shed light on the situation. Click here to see free what the Benitec Biopharma CEO is paid..

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.