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Is Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Limited’s (ASX:API) Cash Outlook Optimistic?

Two important questions to ask before you buy Australian Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (ASX:API) is, how it makes money and how it spends its cash. What is left after investment, determines the value of the stock since this cash flow technically belongs to investors of the company. I will take you through API’s cash flow health and the risk-return concept based on the stock’s cash flow yield, using the most recent financial data. This will help you think about the company from a cash perspective, which is a crucial factor to investing.

See our latest analysis for Australian Pharmaceutical Industries

What is free cash flow?

Australian Pharmaceutical Industries generates cash through its day-to-day business, which needs to be reinvested into the company in order for it to continue operating. What remains after this expenditure, is known as its free cash flow, or FCF, for short.

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The two ways to assess whether Australian Pharmaceutical Industries’s FCF is sufficient, is to compare the FCF yield to the market index yield, as well as determine whether the top-line operating cash flows will continue to grow.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Australian Pharmaceutical Industries’s yield of 8.45% last year indicates its ability to produce cash at the same rate as the market index, taking into account the company’s size. However, given that the risk for holding single-stock Australian Pharmaceutical Industries is higher, this may mean inadequate compensation above and beyond merely investing in the whole market.

ASX:API Net Worth August 29th 18
ASX:API Net Worth August 29th 18

Does Australian Pharmaceutical Industries have a favourable cash flow trend?

Does API’s future look brighter in terms of its ability to generate higher operating cash flows? This can be estimated by examining the trend of the company’s operating cash flow moving forward. Over the next few years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a low single-digit rate of 2.9%, increasing from its current levels of AU$90.4m to AU$93.1m. Furthermore, breaking down growth into a year on year basis, API is able to increase its growth rate each year, from -3.0% next year, to 6.0% in the following year. The overall picture seems encouraging, should capital expenditure levels maintain at an appropriate level.

Next Steps:

Australian Pharmaceutical Industries is compensating investors at a cash yield similar to the wider market portfolio. However, you are taking on more risk by holding a single-stock rather than the well-diversified market index. This means, in terms of risk and return, it’s not the best deal. Keep in mind that cash is only one aspect of investment analysis and there are other important fundamentals to assess. I recommend you continue to research Australian Pharmaceutical Industries to get a more holistic view of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is API worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether API is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Australian Pharmaceutical Industries’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.