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Alaska Air Group (ALK) Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat, Up Y/Y

Alaska Air Group, Inc. ALK reported better-than-expected earnings and revenues in the third quarter of 2019. Following the release, shares of the company inched up 1.3% during after-hours trading on Oct 24.

The carrier’s third-quarteradjusted earnings per share (excluding 3 cents from non-recurring items) of $2.63 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.62. Moreover, the bottom line surged 37.7% year over year on higher revenues and 77% drop in merger-related costs.

Revenues came in at $2,389 million, above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,381 million. The top line also rose 8% year over year. Passenger revenues — contributing 92.5% to the top line — were up 8% on a year-over-year basis.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Alaska Air Group, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Alaska Air Group, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Alaska Air Group, Inc. Quote

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Operating Statistics

Airline traffic, measured in revenue passenger miles, rose 4.4% year over year in the reported quarter. Capacity or available seat miles expanded 3.4%. Load factor (percentage of seats occupied by passengers) improved 90 basis points to 85.8% as traffic growth outpaced capacity expansion in the quarter under review.

Total revenue per available seat mile (RASM: a key measure of unit revenues) increased 4.5% year over year to 13.64 cents in the quarter under discussion. Meanwhile, yield climbed 3.6% to 14.71 cents.

Operating Expenses & Income

In the quarter under review, total operating expenses were up 3% year over year to $1,967 million. Operating income surged 42% from the prior-year quarter’s level to $422 million. Fuel price (economic) was $2.13 per gallon, down 8.6% year over year. Consolidated cost per available seat mile — excluding fuel and special items — rose 3.4% to 8.43 cents.
 
Liquidity & Buybacks

At the end of the reported quarter, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company had $1,619 million in cash and marketable securities compared with $1,236 million at the end of 2018. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Alaska Air exited the quarter with long-term debt of $1,444million compared with $1,617 million at the end of 2018. Adjusted debt-to-capitalization ratio was 42% compared with 47% in December 2018. The carrier repurchased 874,019 shares worth approximately $53 million in the first nine months of 2019.
 
Q4 Outlook

The company envisions capacity to rise approximately 3.8% year over year in the fourth quarter (compared with the previous expectation of 4% rise). Additionally, RASM is estimated to rise in the range of 1-4%. Non-fuel unit costs (excluding special items) are projected to inch up nearly 0.5% year over year (against the previous expectation of 1.2% decline). Meanwhile, economic fuel cost is projected to decline 8.1% year over year to $2.16 in the current quarter.

2019 Outlook

The company’s full-year forecast for capacity and non-fuel unit costs remains intact. While capacity is estimated to expand approximately 2.1%, non-fuel unit costs (excluding special items) are expected to rise nearly 2.2%.

Meanwhile, capital expenditures are now anticipated to be $700 million in the current year compared with prior projection of $725 million. Additionally, effective tax rate is predicted to be approximately 24%, lower than 26% anticipated previously.

Upcoming Releases

Investors interested in the broader Transportation sector are awaiting third-quarter 2019 earnings reports from key players like Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD, Air Lease Corporation AL and Hertz Global Holdings, Inc HTZ.

Hertz will release third-quarter earnings numbers on Nov 4. Expeditors and Air Lease will announce the same on Nov 5 and Nov 7, respectively.

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Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Air Lease Corporation (AL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
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