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Is Adelaide Brighton Limited (ASX:ABC) Spending Too Much Money?

Adelaide Brighton Limited (ASX:ABC) shareholders, and potential investors, need to understand how much cash the business makes from its core operational activities, as well as how much is invested back into the business. After investment, what’s left over is what belongs to you, the investor. This also determines how much the stock is worth. Today we will examine ABC’s ability to generate cash flows, as well as the level of capital expenditure it is expected to incur over the next couple of years, which will result in how much money goes to you.

See our latest analysis for Adelaide Brighton

What is Adelaide Brighton’s cash yield?

Adelaide Brighton’s free cash flow (FCF) is the level of cash flow the business generates from its operational activities, after it reinvests in the company as capital expenditure. This type of expense is needed for Adelaide Brighton to continue to grow, or at least, maintain its current operations.

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There are two methods I will use to evaluate the quality of Adelaide Brighton’s FCF: firstly, I will measure its FCF yield relative to the market index yield; secondly, I will examine whether its operating cash flow will continue to grow into the future, which will give us a sense of sustainability.

Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flows – Net Capital Expenditure

Free Cash Flow Yield = Free Cash Flow / Enterprise Value

where Enterprise Value = Market Capitalisation + Net Debt

Adelaide Brighton’s yield of 2.94% indicates its sub-standard capacity to generate cash, compared to the stock market index as a whole, accounting for the size differential. This means investors are taking on more concentrated risk on Adelaide Brighton but are not being adequately rewarded for doing so.

ASX:ABC Net Worth November 28th 18
ASX:ABC Net Worth November 28th 18

Does Adelaide Brighton have a favourable cash flow trend?

Can ABC improve its operating cash production in the future? Let’s take a quick look at the cash flow trend the company is expected to deliver over time. Over the next few years, the company is expected to grow its cash from operations at a double-digit rate of 18%, ramping up from its current levels of AU$255m to AU$300m in two years’ time. Although this seems impressive, breaking down into year-on-year growth rates, ABC’s operating cash flow growth is expected to decline from a rate of 11% next year, to 6.4% in the following year. But the overall future outlook seems buoyant if ABC can maintain its levels of capital expenditure as well.

Next Steps:

Although its positive operating cash flow, and high future growth, is appealing, the low free cash flow yield is unattractive. This is because you would be better compensated in terms of cash yield, by investing in the market index, as well as take on lower diversification risk. However, cash is only one aspect of investing. Now you know to keep cash flows in mind, I suggest you continue to research Adelaide Brighton to get a better picture of the company by looking at:

  1. Valuation: What is ABC worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether ABC is currently mispriced by the market.

  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Adelaide Brighton’s board and the CEO’s back ground.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: If you believe you should cushion your portfolio with something less risky, scroll through our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.