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Earnings Beat: Bentley Systems, Incorporated Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

It's been a good week for Bentley Systems, Incorporated (NASDAQ:BSY) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 6.3% to US$55.01. Revenues were US$338m, approximately in line with whatthe analysts expected, although statutory earnings per share (EPS) crushed expectations, coming in at US$0.22, an impressive 22% ahead of estimates. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Bentley Systems

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Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Bentley Systems' 14 analysts is for revenues of US$1.36b in 2024. This would reflect a meaningful 8.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to tumble 33% to US$0.74 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.71 in 2024. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

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There's been no major changes to the consensus price target of US$60.07, suggesting that the improved earnings per share outlook is not enough to have a long-term positive impact on the stock's valuation. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Bentley Systems, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$64.00 and the most bearish at US$48.00 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Bentley Systems is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Bentley Systems' past performance and to peers in the same industry. The period to the end of 2024 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 13% annual growth over the past three years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 13% per year. So although Bentley Systems is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Bentley Systems following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Bentley Systems. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Bentley Systems going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Bentley Systems you should be aware of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.